Global warming threatens stability in the world, according to a US security services report, which predicts an increased risk of conflict due to water scarcity and migratory movements after 2030.
“Geopolitical tensions are likely to worsen as countries have disagreements on how to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement,” the report said.
According to the report, most countries “will face difficult economic choices and will probably rely on technological advances to quickly reduce their emissions.
Geoengineering techniques, which aim to manipulate and change climate and environment, can be another source of conflict.
After 2040, less developed countries will be less able to adapt to climate change, which “will increase the risk of instability or even civil war in these countries.”
Particularly at risk are Afghanistan, Myanmar, India, Pakistan, North Korea, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia and Iraq, countries that are extremely vulnerable to physical (climate change) effects and lack the capacity to adapt. me to.
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